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Red86
400929.4
460728.3
470314.2
Blue56
617518.6
388318.1
472822.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76654060801008656

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4009
#10
29.41.0
27.728.7
Auto5.1
Teleop15.7
End8.6
red by 6.9
4728
#35
22.50.6
23.522.9
Auto2.6
Teleop11.6
End8.2
Second
28.31.0
29.230.2
Auto4.4
Teleop19.7
End4.2
red by 9.8
6175
#14
18.60.6
18.517.9
Auto5.2
Teleop8.3
End5.1
Third
4703
#25
14.21.0
14.815.8
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End3.4
blue by 3.9
3883
#29
18.10.6
19.819.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsEarned7%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
70%HAB Docking oddsEarned90%HAB Docking oddsEarned