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Red82
205230.0
517237.8
363023.3
Blue87
400929.4
599123.5
217523.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions978140601201408287

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.80.2
38.037.8
Auto5.4
Teleop26.1
End6.3
red by 8.4
4009
#10
29.40.2
29.729.9
Auto5.1
Teleop15.7
End8.6
Second
2052
#12
30.00.2
30.230.0
Auto4.2
Teleop19.0
End6.8
red by 6.5
23.50.2
23.824.0
Auto3.9
Teleop12.9
End6.8
Third
23.30.2
23.523.3
Auto3.2
Teleop15.5
End4.5
blue by 0.2
2175
#17
23.40.2
23.723.9
Auto5.3
Teleop14.0
End4.1