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Red81
642422.4
452225.3
233317.2
Blue58
199718.0
543718.2
235914.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6753204060801008158

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.4
24.825.2
Auto4.0
Teleop14.8
End6.5
red by 7.1
5437
#10
18.20.2
18.118.2
Auto3.7
Teleop11.9
End2.5
Second
22.40.4
21.922.3
Auto2.9
Teleop11.1
End8.3
red by 4.4
1997
#14
18.00.2
17.918.1
Auto4.0
Teleop7.9
End6.1
Third
2333
#25
17.20.4
16.817.2
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End2.9
red by 3.2
2359
#31
14.10.2
13.914.1
Auto2.7
Teleop8.3
End3.1