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Red36
688620.9
393124.9
235914.1
Blue58
328428.6
588919.5
766212.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495410203040607080903658

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.90.8
18.417.5
Auto6.0
Teleop12.7
End6.2
blue by 3.7
28.60.2
24.524.3
Auto3.8
Teleop18.6
End6.2
Second
6886
#11
20.90.8
16.816.0
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End7.6
red by 1.4
5889
#12
19.50.2
15.615.4
Auto3.4
Teleop13.6
End2.5
Third
2359
#31
14.10.9
11.010.1
Auto2.7
Teleop8.3
End3.1
red by 1.2
7662
#18
12.90.3
10.510.2
Auto3.5
Teleop6.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
67%HAB Docking oddsEarned27%HAB Docking oddsMissed