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Red45
588919.5
684315.4
714115.9
Blue65
175627.3
500620.9
495919.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions466520304050607080901004565

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5889
#12
19.50.1
15.415.5
Auto3.4
Teleop13.6
End2.5
blue by 7.8
27.30.2
28.628.8
Auto5.7
Teleop12.2
End9.3
Second
7141
#17
15.90.1
13.813.9
Auto4.0
Teleop7.9
End4.1
blue by 5.0
20.90.3
20.220.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.6
End8.8
Third
6843
#33
15.40.1
14.514.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.3
End4.8
blue by 3.9
19.20.3
12.612.9
Auto5.2
Teleop10.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed94%HAB Docking oddsEarned