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Red52
180620.6
3114.2
199718.0
Blue43
511914.3
642422.4
555015.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485120304060705243

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#15
20.60.4
13.213.6
Auto4.6
Teleop11.9
End4.1
blue by 1.8
22.40.4
21.020.7
Auto2.9
Teleop11.1
End8.3
Second
1997
#14
18.00.4
17.618.0
Auto4.0
Teleop7.9
End6.1
red by 2.8
5550
#34
15.20.4
13.613.1
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End3.2
Third
31
#23
14.20.5
15.015.5
Auto4.2
Teleop7.9
End2.2
Level
5119
#13
14.30.6
13.813.2
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsMissed47%HAB Docking oddsMissed