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Red43
359316.8
233317.2
216412.1
Blue48
277314.1
543718.2
445512.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4539102030506070804348

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2333
#25
17.20.0
15.215.2
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End2.9
blue by 1.0
5437
#10
18.20.8
15.616.4
Auto3.7
Teleop11.9
End2.5
Second
3593
#28
16.80.0
14.814.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.6
End2.5
red by 2.7
2773
#30
14.10.8
9.610.4
Auto4.1
Teleop8.4
End1.6
Third
2164
#32
12.10.0
13.013.0
Auto3.8
Teleop5.1
End3.2
blue by 0.4
4455
#36
12.51.2
12.013.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed34%HAB Docking oddsMissed