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Red41
445512.5
175627.3
555015.2
Blue54
588919.5
3114.2
772911.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58442030405070804154

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.9
28.827.9
Auto5.7
Teleop12.2
End9.3
red by 7.8
5889
#12
19.50.2
15.515.3
Auto3.4
Teleop13.6
End2.5
Second
5550
#34
15.21.1
13.112.1
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End3.2
red by 0.9
31
#23
14.20.2
15.515.3
Auto4.2
Teleop7.9
End2.2
Third
4455
#36
12.51.6
13.211.7
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End3.0
red by 0.7
7729
#24
11.80.3
10.610.3
Auto3.4
Teleop4.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
71%HAB Docking oddsEarned10%HAB Docking oddsMissed