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Red52
642422.4
688620.9
199718.0
Blue51
59189.3
339717.0
193923.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574402040805251

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.1
20.220.1
Auto2.9
Teleop11.1
End8.3
blue by 1.3
1939
#19
23.70.8
19.920.7
Auto4.2
Teleop13.5
End6.1
Second
6886
#11
20.90.2
17.016.8
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End7.6
red by 3.9
3397
#29
17.00.7
15.516.3
Auto4.5
Teleop8.7
End3.8
Third
1997
#14
18.00.1
16.816.7
Auto4.0
Teleop7.9
End6.1
red by 8.7
5918
#35
9.30.6
6.67.2
Auto2.8
Teleop3.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
93%HAB Docking oddsEarned19%HAB Docking oddsMissed