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Red42
555015.2
216412.1
198722.1
Blue52
500620.9
277314.1
511914.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5149204060804252

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.10.4
20.319.9
Auto4.8
Teleop11.4
End5.9
red by 1.2
20.90.2
20.120.3
Auto3.5
Teleop8.6
End8.8
Second
5550
#34
15.20.4
13.713.3
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End3.2
red by 0.9
5119
#13
14.30.3
14.314.6
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End3.5
Third
2164
#32
12.10.4
14.514.0
Auto3.8
Teleop5.1
End3.2
blue by 2.0
2773
#30
14.10.2
12.012.1
Auto4.1
Teleop8.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
39%HAB Docking oddsMissed55%HAB Docking oddsEarned