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Red71
339717.0
452225.3
180620.6
Blue52
504118.7
233317.2
277314.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59492040801007152

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.8
21.522.4
Auto4.0
Teleop14.8
End6.5
red by 6.6
5041
#21
18.70.4
17.317.7
Auto5.0
Teleop10.0
End3.8
Second
1806
#15
20.60.8
17.017.8
Auto4.6
Teleop11.9
End4.1
red by 3.3
2333
#25
17.20.4
16.917.2
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End2.9
Third
3397
#29
17.00.8
16.917.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.7
End3.8
red by 2.9
2773
#30
14.10.4
12.112.5
Auto4.1
Teleop8.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsEarned8%HAB Docking oddsMissed