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Red45
109424.2
511914.3
545417.1
Blue46
543718.2
714115.9
766212.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5848102030407080904546

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1094
#16
24.20.7
23.923.2
Auto5.9
Teleop12.2
End6.1
red by 6.0
5437
#10
18.20.0
18.318.3
Auto3.7
Teleop11.9
End2.5
Second
5454
#27
17.10.7
16.515.8
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End2.9
red by 1.1
7141
#17
15.90.0
15.916.0
Auto4.0
Teleop7.9
End4.1
Third
5119
#13
14.31.1
14.613.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End3.5
red by 1.4
7662
#18
12.90.0
11.611.7
Auto3.5
Teleop6.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed39%HAB Docking oddsMissed