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Red63
245126.4
199718.0
511914.3
Blue59
180620.6
216412.1
109424.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6358203040507080901006359

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.2
27.027.2
Auto5.6
Teleop13.4
End7.4
red by 2.2
1094
#16
24.20.1
23.223.3
Auto5.9
Teleop12.2
End6.1
Second
1997
#14
18.00.2
19.119.3
Auto4.0
Teleop7.9
End6.1
blue by 2.6
1806
#15
20.60.1
17.817.9
Auto4.6
Teleop11.9
End4.1
Third
5119
#13
14.30.4
13.513.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End3.5
red by 2.2
2164
#32
12.10.1
14.214.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
62%HAB Docking oddsEarned48%HAB Docking oddsMissed