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Red53
93811.8
555015.2
545417.1
Blue52
588919.5
59189.3
359316.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414702060805352

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5454
#27
17.10.5
15.816.3
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End2.9
blue by 2.4
5889
#12
19.50.5
17.217.6
Auto3.4
Teleop13.6
End2.5
Second
5550
#34
15.20.5
13.414.0
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End3.2
blue by 1.6
3593
#28
16.80.5
18.418.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.6
End2.5
Third
938
#26
11.80.5
10.010.5
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End3.2
red by 2.5
5918
#35
9.30.5
9.39.7
Auto2.8
Teleop3.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed