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Red52
180620.6
277314.1
714115.9
Blue59
93811.8
684315.4
688620.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525030406070805259

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#15
20.60.2
19.519.8
Auto4.6
Teleop11.9
End4.1
blue by 0.3
6886
#11
20.90.2
20.420.6
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End7.6
Second
7141
#17
15.90.2
15.415.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.9
End4.1
red by 0.6
6843
#33
15.40.2
15.215.4
Auto4.4
Teleop6.3
End4.8
Third
2773
#30
14.10.2
13.914.1
Auto4.1
Teleop8.4
End1.6
red by 2.3
938
#26
11.80.2
11.611.8
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed77%HAB Docking oddsEarned