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Red55
109424.2
93118.4
59189.3
Blue67
199718.0
277314.1
175627.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4956203040607080905567

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1094
#16
24.20.4
22.122.5
Auto5.9
Teleop12.2
End6.1
blue by 3.1
27.30.9
27.728.6
Auto5.7
Teleop12.2
End9.3
Second
931
#22
18.40.4
16.917.3
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End4.1
red by 0.3
1997
#14
18.00.9
16.717.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.9
End6.1
Third
5918
#35
9.30.4
7.27.6
Auto2.8
Teleop3.2
End3.3
blue by 4.8
2773
#30
14.11.2
8.49.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsMissed68%HAB Docking oddsEarned