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Red55
555015.2
193923.7
178517.3
Blue49
235914.1
545417.1
642422.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585730405070805549

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1939
#19
23.70.0
23.923.8
Auto4.2
Teleop13.5
End6.1
red by 1.3
22.40.3
22.221.9
Auto2.9
Teleop11.1
End8.3
Second
1785
#20
17.30.0
17.117.1
Auto3.3
Teleop11.1
End2.9
red by 0.2
5454
#27
17.10.3
17.417.1
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End2.9
Third
5550
#34
15.20.0
14.414.4
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End3.2
red by 1.1
2359
#31
14.10.3
14.313.9
Auto2.7
Teleop8.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed11%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed57%HAB Docking oddsMissed