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Red58
175627.3
328428.6
93118.4
Blue84
180620.6
393124.9
555015.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8063401005884

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.4
29.228.8
Auto3.8
Teleop18.6
End6.2
red by 3.7
24.90.3
24.424.7
Auto6.0
Teleop12.7
End6.2
Second
27.30.4
27.927.5
Auto5.7
Teleop12.2
End9.3
red by 6.7
1806
#15
20.60.3
20.120.4
Auto4.6
Teleop11.9
End4.1
Third
931
#22
18.40.4
19.018.6
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End4.1
red by 3.2
5550
#34
15.20.3
14.715.0
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End3.2