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Red30
184712.7
235217.4
526811.6
Blue45
177513.6
480914.9
509815.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4042203050603045

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2352
#22
17.40.6
13.713.0
Auto5.0
Teleop9.1
End3.3
red by 1.9
5098
#19
15.50.5
14.715.2
Auto4.6
Teleop6.0
End4.9
Second
1847
#17
12.70.8
11.310.5
Auto4.3
Teleop5.5
End2.9
blue by 2.2
4809
#12
14.90.6
10.811.4
Auto3.2
Teleop8.0
End3.7
Third
5268
#31
11.60.8
12.511.7
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End2.6
blue by 2.0
1775
#20
13.60.6
13.814.5
Auto4.5
Teleop6.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed