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Red50
173025.9
509815.5
178512.7
Blue18
180612.0
177712.9
172313.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514001020306070805018

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.1
21.721.8
Auto3.3
Teleop14.2
End8.4
red by 12.6
1723
#13
13.21.5
12.310.9
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End2.8
Second
5098
#19
15.50.1
16.016.1
Auto4.6
Teleop6.0
End4.9
red by 2.7
1777
#29
12.92.2
12.610.4
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End2.7
Third
1785
#16
12.70.2
11.011.1
Auto3.2
Teleop6.3
End3.3
red by 0.7
1806
#27
12.02.2
12.910.7
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking oddsEarned20%HAB Docking oddsMissed