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Red47
180215.2
480914.9
328423.0
Blue24
9376.8
235715.5
184712.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423210205060704724

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.5
16.917.3
Auto3.5
Teleop15.2
End4.4
red by 7.6
2357
#23
15.50.6
14.013.3
Auto2.7
Teleop9.2
End3.5
Second
1802
#10
15.20.8
11.512.2
Auto4.3
Teleop5.6
End5.3
red by 2.5
1847
#17
12.71.1
11.510.4
Auto4.3
Teleop5.5
End2.9
Third
4809
#12
14.90.8
11.712.5
Auto3.2
Teleop8.0
End3.7
red by 8.2
937
#35
6.81.1
5.14.1
Auto1.7
Teleop2.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsEarned21%HAB Docking oddsMissed