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Red45
198629.8
680510.1
11089.5
Blue27
176412.6
176310.2
23539.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52351020304060704527

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.3
28.228.0
Auto3.9
Teleop15.3
End10.6
red by 17.2
1764
#24
12.60.6
10.49.8
Auto5.5
Teleop6.1
End1.0
Second
10.10.4
9.89.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End2.4
blue by 0.1
1763
#18
10.21.0
13.712.7
Auto3.1
Teleop3.7
End3.4
Third
1108
#32
9.50.3
10.910.7
Auto3.9
Teleop4.1
End1.5
blue by 0.4
2353
#33
9.91.0
9.18.1
Auto4.7
Teleop3.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
54%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed