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Red33
177712.9
198213.7
233511.8
Blue36
180215.2
172313.2
59186.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363310203040503336

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1982
#26
13.70.1
12.612.5
Auto4.9
Teleop5.2
End3.6
blue by 1.5
1802
#10
15.20.1
12.412.5
Auto4.3
Teleop5.6
End5.3
Second
1777
#29
12.90.1
11.711.6
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End2.7
blue by 0.3
1723
#13
13.20.1
11.411.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End2.8
Third
2335
#34
11.80.1
9.89.7
Auto3.6
Teleop5.2
End3.0
red by 5.2
5918
#21
6.60.1
7.98.0
Auto2.3
Teleop0.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed