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Red40
509815.5
177712.9
235715.5
Blue57
272318.9
23539.9
233511.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444220304050604057

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5098
#19
15.50.1
15.915.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.0
End4.9
blue by 3.3
18.91.1
19.020.1
Auto5.2
Teleop9.5
End4.2
Second
2357
#23
15.50.1
14.514.4
Auto2.7
Teleop9.2
End3.5
red by 3.6
2335
#34
11.81.9
9.711.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.2
End3.0
Third
1777
#29
12.90.2
11.611.4
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End2.7
red by 3.0
2353
#33
9.91.9
11.513.4
Auto4.7
Teleop3.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed