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Red47
198213.7
580128.1
184712.7
Blue49
706413.0
172313.2
198418.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5643203040506070804749

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.10.6
29.128.5
Auto5.6
Teleop14.7
End7.9
red by 9.2
1984
#11
18.90.8
16.016.8
Auto3.1
Teleop13.1
End2.7
Second
1982
#26
13.70.6
12.812.1
Auto4.9
Teleop5.2
End3.6
red by 0.5
1723
#13
13.20.5
11.512.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End2.8
Third
1847
#17
12.71.0
11.510.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.5
End2.9
blue by 0.3
7064
#14
13.00.8
13.614.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
62%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed