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Red46
58099.6
328423.0
177712.9
Blue32
596811.5
172313.2
480914.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363502060801004632

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.9
13.914.9
Auto3.5
Teleop15.2
End4.4
red by 8.1
4809
#12
14.90.1
10.910.8
Auto3.2
Teleop8.0
End3.7
Second
1777
#29
12.91.3
13.214.5
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End2.7
blue by 0.3
1723
#13
13.20.1
9.79.7
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End2.8
Third
5809
#15
9.61.0
7.38.4
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End3.8
blue by 1.9
5968
#30
11.50.1
12.112.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed