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Red45
172313.2
176412.6
184712.7
Blue32
23539.9
235217.4
9376.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36380102030506070804532

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1723
#13
13.20.5
12.012.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End2.8
blue by 4.2
2352
#22
17.40.5
16.916.4
Auto5.0
Teleop9.1
End3.3
Second
1847
#17
12.70.8
10.611.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.5
End2.9
red by 2.8
2353
#33
9.90.7
12.411.7
Auto4.7
Teleop3.8
End1.4
Third
1764
#24
12.60.5
11.612.1
Auto5.5
Teleop6.1
End1.0
red by 5.9
937
#35
6.80.7
6.76.1
Auto1.7
Teleop2.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed