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Red39
9376.8
178512.7
172313.2
Blue23
526811.6
176310.2
680510.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33371020304050603923

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1723
#13
13.20.3
12.613.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End2.8
red by 1.7
5268
#31
11.60.9
12.211.2
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End2.6
Second
1785
#16
12.70.4
12.112.5
Auto3.2
Teleop6.3
End3.3
red by 2.5
1763
#18
10.20.9
11.610.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.7
End3.4
Third
937
#35
6.80.4
6.26.6
Auto1.7
Teleop2.9
End2.2
blue by 3.4
10.10.9
10.99.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed