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Red49
176310.2
480914.9
580128.1
Blue42
177712.9
596811.5
235217.4
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5842102030507080904942

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.10.4
28.828.4
Auto5.6
Teleop14.7
End7.9
red by 10.7
2352
#22
17.40.2
16.216.4
Auto5.0
Teleop9.1
End3.3
Second
4809
#12
14.90.4
15.314.8
Auto3.2
Teleop8.0
End3.7
red by 2.1
1777
#29
12.90.2
12.012.2
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End2.7
Third
1763
#18
10.20.4
10.610.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.7
End3.4
blue by 1.3
5968
#30
11.50.2
11.211.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
68%HAB Docking oddsEarned12%HAB Docking oddsMissed