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Red33
23539.9
58099.6
596811.5
Blue49
654212.1
180612.0
198213.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334101020506070803349

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5968
#30
11.50.2
12.012.2
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End1.2
blue by 2.3
1982
#26
13.70.5
13.012.5
Auto4.9
Teleop5.2
End3.6
Second
2353
#33
9.90.2
10.510.8
Auto4.7
Teleop3.8
End1.4
blue by 2.2
6542
#28
12.10.6
11.610.9
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End2.6
Third
5809
#15
9.60.2
8.48.5
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End3.8
blue by 2.4
1806
#27
12.00.6
14.313.6
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed