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Red54
198725.7
173024.7
435617.6
Blue48
93118.1
532612.7
180618.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7252204060801005448

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
Unranked
25.70.3
25.925.6
Auto4.6
Teleop14.5
End6.6
red by 7.0
1806
Unranked
18.70.0
18.718.7
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End3.6
Second
1730
Unranked
24.70.3
24.924.6
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End7.2
red by 6.6
931
Unranked
18.10.0
18.118.1
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End4.0
Third
4356
Unranked
17.60.4
17.817.3
Auto4.6
Teleop4.4
End8.6
red by 5.0
5326
Unranked
12.70.0
12.712.7
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End4.5