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Red63
328428.3
688620.4
193924.6
Blue71
432923.9
512615.2
182520.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7962401006371

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3284
Unranked
28.30.3
28.928.6
Auto4.3
Teleop19.3
End4.7
red by 4.5
4329
Unranked
23.90.3
23.724.0
Auto5.2
Teleop10.3
End8.3
Second
1939
Unranked
24.60.3
25.124.9
Auto4.4
Teleop14.9
End5.3
red by 4.6
1825
Unranked
20.00.3
19.920.2
Auto3.2
Teleop14.0
End2.7
Third
6886
Unranked
20.40.3
20.920.6
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End7.4
red by 5.2
5126
Unranked
15.20.3
15.115.4
Auto4.9
Teleop6.5
End3.8