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Red59
125927.3
165825.3
774715.6
Blue77
450022.8
150129.1
639117.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7472556065708085905977

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.3
28.027.7
Auto4.9
Teleop17.8
End4.5
blue by 1.8
29.10.2
28.728.9
Auto4.9
Teleop14.2
End10.0
Second
25.30.3
26.025.7
Auto3.7
Teleop14.5
End7.1
red by 2.5
4500
#12
22.80.2
22.422.6
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End5.4
Third
7747
#18
15.60.3
16.316.0
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End3.1
blue by 1.9
6391
#38
17.60.3
17.117.3
Auto5.0
Teleop9.1
End3.4