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Red57
165825.3
414325.9
424613.5
Blue64
435617.8
774715.6
150129.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465120304060705764

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.91.5
18.520.0
Auto3.8
Teleop13.7
End8.4
blue by 3.2
29.11.1
26.027.0
Auto4.9
Teleop14.2
End10.0
Second
25.31.5
13.615.1
Auto3.7
Teleop14.5
End7.1
red by 7.5
17.81.8
11.813.6
Auto5.0
Teleop4.2
End8.5
Third
4246
#36
13.51.5
11.212.7
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End4.5
blue by 2.1
7747
#18
15.61.8
10.312.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsEarned64%HAB Docking oddsEarned