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Red36
339715.5
71178.2
674417.5
Blue25
20109.8
297814.9
747210.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41331020506070803625

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6744
#21
17.50.3
12.512.2
Auto3.2
Teleop11.4
End2.9
red by 2.5
2978
#15
14.90.7
12.111.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End3.5
Second
3397
#28
15.50.3
15.915.6
Auto4.0
Teleop8.2
End3.4
red by 5.1
7472
#27
10.50.7
8.17.3
Auto2.7
Teleop4.4
End3.4
Third
7117
#25
8.20.3
10.310.0
Auto3.4
Teleop2.9
End1.9
blue by 1.7
2010
#44
9.80.7
11.210.5
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed