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Red41
150129.1
58365.4
424613.5
Blue60
125927.3
55839.7
270710.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5239102030607080904160

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.10.8
27.026.2
Auto4.9
Teleop14.2
End10.0
red by 1.8
27.31.9
19.421.4
Auto4.9
Teleop17.8
End4.5
Second
4246
#36
13.51.3
12.711.4
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End4.5
red by 3.2
2707
#40
10.31.9
9.911.8
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End2.4
Third
5836
#39
5.41.3
9.98.6
Auto1.1
Teleop2.5
End1.8
blue by 4.3
5583
#43
9.71.9
7.49.3
Auto5.1
Teleop1.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
72%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsMissed