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Red51
747210.5
414325.9
93116.6
Blue29
58365.4
66608.7
117814.4
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473101020405060705129

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.8
20.020.7
Auto3.8
Teleop13.7
End8.4
red by 11.5
1178
#22
14.40.0
14.814.8
Auto3.1
Teleop7.5
End3.7
Second
931
#17
16.60.8
16.617.3
Auto4.6
Teleop7.3
End4.6
red by 7.9
6660
#48
8.70.0
6.96.9
Auto2.9
Teleop4.6
End1.2
Third
7472
#27
10.50.8
7.58.3
Auto2.7
Teleop4.4
End3.4
red by 5.1
5836
#39
5.40.0
7.37.3
Auto1.1
Teleop2.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking oddsEarned28%HAB Docking oddsMissed