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Red44
514712.9
50609.7
435617.8
Blue56
297814.9
125927.3
339715.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4250203060704456

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.80.2
15.115.2
Auto5.0
Teleop4.2
End8.5
blue by 9.5
27.31.0
20.021.0
Auto4.9
Teleop17.8
End4.5
Second
5147
#46
12.90.2
13.013.1
Auto5.3
Teleop4.8
End2.8
blue by 2.7
3397
#28
15.51.0
15.116.1
Auto4.0
Teleop8.2
End3.4
Third
5060
#42
9.70.2
11.411.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.6
End2.9
blue by 5.2
2978
#15
14.91.0
12.213.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
39%HAB Docking oddsEarned29%HAB Docking oddsMissed