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Red52
66608.7
70613.6
432924.4
Blue39
517620.0
532612.7
745212.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454425303540505560655239

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.40.8
18.919.7
Auto5.1
Teleop10.7
End8.6
red by 4.5
20.00.4
17.316.9
Auto4.4
Teleop8.2
End7.4
Second
706
#14
13.60.8
16.116.9
Auto3.2
Teleop7.4
End3.1
red by 0.9
5326
#26
12.70.4
12.612.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End4.6
Third
6660
#48
8.70.8
7.07.7
Auto2.9
Teleop4.6
End1.2
blue by 3.4
7452
#20
12.10.4
12.512.1
Auto4.7
Teleop1.5
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
49%HAB Docking oddsEarned70%HAB Docking oddsEarned