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Red48
120814.5
144418.9
423213.5
Blue42
93116.6
41877.6
50609.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4437102030405060704842

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1444
#16
18.90.7
14.114.8
Auto4.0
Teleop12.6
End2.4
red by 2.3
931
#17
16.60.8
18.219.0
Auto4.6
Teleop7.3
End4.6
Second
1208
#31
14.50.7
13.614.3
Auto3.2
Teleop8.7
End2.6
red by 4.8
5060
#42
9.70.8
9.910.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.6
End2.9
Third
4232
#29
13.50.7
14.014.7
Auto4.0
Teleop5.2
End4.3
red by 5.9
4187
#35
7.60.5
6.67.1
Auto3.4
Teleop2.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed37%HAB Docking oddsMissed