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Red47
58365.4
165825.3
532612.7
Blue44
319715.2
24087.4
132918.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424620305060704744

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.7
21.922.7
Auto3.7
Teleop14.5
End7.1
red by 6.7
1329
#37
18.60.9
19.718.7
Auto2.8
Teleop13.7
End2.2
Second
5326
#26
12.70.7
12.212.9
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End4.6
blue by 2.4
3197
#32
15.20.9
16.315.4
Auto3.3
Teleop8.1
End3.8
Third
5836
#39
5.40.7
5.76.5
Auto1.1
Teleop2.5
End1.8
blue by 2.1
2408
#47
7.40.9
7.97.0
Auto3.1
Teleop2.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
63%HAB Docking oddsEarned20%HAB Docking oddsMissed