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Red83
167628.7
30330.9
428517.1
Blue73
272926.8
434223.1
465320.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions847440601001208373

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#1
30.90.4
31.030.6
Auto5.2
Teleop18.7
End7.1
red by 4.1
2729
#34
26.80.2
28.128.3
Auto5.3
Teleop14.2
End7.4
Second
1676
#15
28.70.4
30.329.9
Auto5.7
Teleop17.0
End6.0
red by 5.7
4342
#33
23.10.2
22.222.4
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End7.7
Third
4285
#54
17.10.4
17.917.5
Auto5.4
Teleop7.5
End4.2
blue by 2.9
4653
#43
20.00.2
20.120.3
Auto4.2
Teleop12.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
31%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
81%HAB Docking oddsEarned94%HAB Docking oddsEarned