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Red71
540127.5
334016.4
363722.1
Blue54
125721.7
758716.8
272926.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72632040801007154

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5401
#40
27.50.5
29.428.9
Auto5.5
Teleop18.1
End3.9
red by 0.7
2729
#34
26.80.4
27.026.6
Auto5.3
Teleop14.2
End7.4
Second
3637
#35
22.10.5
22.722.2
Auto5.1
Teleop14.0
End2.9
red by 0.4
1257
#29
21.70.4
21.020.6
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End5.9
Third
3340
#51
16.40.5
16.415.9
Auto5.1
Teleop5.3
End6.0
blue by 0.4
7587
#21
16.80.4
12.111.7
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed87%HAB Docking oddsMissed