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Red46
540725.6
694310.6
253928.2
Blue85
568424.9
272926.8
622620.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67753040506080901001104685

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2539
#17
28.21.2
27.826.6
Auto3.5
Teleop17.2
End7.5
red by 1.4
2729
#34
26.80.9
26.627.5
Auto5.3
Teleop14.2
End7.4
Second
5407
#32
25.61.2
23.622.4
Auto4.9
Teleop13.1
End7.6
red by 0.7
5684
#57
24.90.9
22.923.9
Auto4.1
Teleop16.8
End4.0
Third
6943
#60
10.61.2
12.311.1
Auto4.3
Teleop3.7
End2.6
blue by 10.2
6226
#37
20.80.9
21.622.5
Auto3.3
Teleop9.4
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
93%HAB Docking oddsMissed93%HAB Docking oddsEarned