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Red40
125721.7
542017.8
219113.4
Blue85
257722.0
253928.2
10327.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions578020401001204085

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1257
#29
21.70.9
20.419.4
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End5.9
blue by 6.5
2539
#17
28.20.6
26.627.2
Auto3.5
Teleop17.2
End7.5
Second
5420
#49
17.80.9
19.118.1
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End4.2
blue by 9.4
103
#16
27.20.6
29.530.1
Auto3.4
Teleop16.3
End7.6
Third
2191
#53
13.40.9
14.713.8
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End2.4
blue by 8.6
2577
#11
22.00.6
19.820.4
Auto5.3
Teleop9.2
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed12%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
65%HAB Docking oddsMissed99%HAB Docking oddsEarned