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Red61
127918.6
428517.1
599220.4
Blue54
331424.3
741418.9
10327.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions597720401006154

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5992
#10
20.40.1
20.220.4
Auto3.9
Teleop13.5
End3.0
blue by 6.8
103
#16
27.21.5
30.128.7
Auto3.4
Teleop16.3
End7.6
Second
1279
#50
18.60.1
19.519.6
Auto4.6
Teleop10.2
End3.8
blue by 5.7
3314
#19
24.31.5
23.922.5
Auto3.6
Teleop13.6
End7.1
Third
4285
#54
17.10.1
16.416.6
Auto5.4
Teleop7.5
End4.2
blue by 1.9
7414
#52
18.91.5
18.917.4
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed20%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsMissed92%HAB Docking oddsMissed