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Red89
192325.9
22532.7
5627.7
Blue82
180734.8
445414.5
758716.8
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions846040801001208982

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#2
32.70.6
29.329.9
Auto4.7
Teleop21.3
End6.7
blue by 2.1
34.81.6
31.633.3
Auto4.3
Teleop22.4
End8.1
Second
56
#6
27.70.6
26.326.9
Auto3.7
Teleop15.1
End8.9
red by 10.9
7587
#21
16.81.6
11.312.9
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End3.8
Third
25.90.6
24.425.0
Auto3.8
Teleop15.9
End6.2
red by 11.4
4454
#56
14.51.6
14.416.0
Auto4.9
Teleop4.1
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
19%Rocket oddsEarned13%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
88%HAB Docking oddsEarned71%HAB Docking oddsEarned