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Red119
4125.0
180734.8
219113.4
Blue65
167628.7
125721.7
162623.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727520406010012011965

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.81.4
33.334.7
Auto4.3
Teleop22.4
End8.1
red by 6.0
1676
#15
28.70.4
29.028.6
Auto5.7
Teleop17.0
End6.0
Second
41
#30
25.01.4
20.822.2
Auto4.3
Teleop13.2
End7.5
red by 1.6
1626
#38
23.40.4
21.921.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.5
End7.5
Third
2191
#53
13.41.4
14.215.6
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End2.4
blue by 8.3
1257
#29
21.70.4
20.119.7
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
12%Rocket oddsMissed13%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
83%HAB Docking oddsEarned90%HAB Docking oddsEarned