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Red65
428517.1
43323.2
201625.2
Blue81
542017.8
568424.9
259026.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6672204060801001206581

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#27
25.20.2
23.223.4
Auto5.4
Teleop13.4
End6.3
blue by 1.4
2590
#46
26.60.9
24.225.1
Auto5.3
Teleop16.1
End5.2
Second
433
#25
23.20.2
22.322.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End7.2
blue by 1.7
5684
#57
24.90.9
24.525.4
Auto4.1
Teleop16.8
End4.0
Third
4285
#54
17.10.2
16.616.8
Auto5.4
Teleop7.5
End4.2
blue by 0.7
5420
#49
17.80.9
19.120.0
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
70%HAB Docking oddsEarned64%HAB Docking oddsMissed