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Red73
125721.7
397419.4
201625.2
Blue67
428517.1
171225.2
457317.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions666340506070807367

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#27
25.20.5
23.423.9
Auto5.4
Teleop13.4
End6.3
blue by 0.1
1712
#24
25.20.5
24.625.1
Auto3.3
Teleop16.7
End5.2
Second
1257
#29
21.70.5
19.720.2
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End5.9
red by 4.3
4573
#58
17.40.5
17.918.4
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End4.0
Third
3974
#44
19.40.5
19.720.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.2
End8.9
red by 2.4
4285
#54
17.10.5
16.817.3
Auto5.4
Teleop7.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
94%HAB Docking oddsEarned47%HAB Docking oddsMissed